More than a half
century ago, the Air Force sponsored at the University of Colorado, a study of
UFOs. Lead by Dr. Edward U. Condon, they concluded that there was no national
security issue, that nothing of scientific value would be learned by further
study, and that the Air Force had done a good job during its twenty-two-year
investigation. From that point on, other scientists, journalists, news
organizations and DoD officials used those conclusions to ignore the UFO
phenomenon and often to ridicule those who took it seriously or who claimed to
have seen an alien spacecraft.
Dr. Edward Condon
None of this came as a
surprise to those who were paying close attention. The conclusions for the
Condon Committee as it became known, were written at the very beginning of the
investigation. Lieutenant Colonel Robert Hippler wrote to Robert Low of the
Condon Committee to outline the Air Force expectations. These were to find no
national security issues, to find nothing of a scientific value in additional
research and to say some positive things about the Air Force investigation. As
noted, all this came to pass.
For those interested in
exploring this aspect of the “scientific study” of UFOs, you can read about it
here:
http://kevinrandle.blogspot.com/2007/03/hippler-letter.html
Condon even expressed
his belief about UFOs and what the ultimate conclusions would be at a meeting in
Corning, New York, on January 25, 1967, where he told the audience that UFO’s
“are not the business of the Air Force… It is my inclination right now to
recommend that the government get out of this business. My attitude is that
there’s nothing to it… but I’m not supposed to reach a conclusion for another
year.” That was reported in the January 26, 1967, edition of the Elmira
Star-Gazette.
Ten years later, Frank
Press, who was the Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, and
was President Jimmy Carter’s science advisor, wrote to Robert Frosch, the
administrator of NASA. In a friendly letter, Press suggested that UFOs were a
subject that should be a focal point for NASA. In other words, Press seemed to
be suggesting that NASA take an interest in UFO reports and sightings.
In his response,
Frosch, mentioned the negative conclusions of the Condon Committee, cited other
organizations with opposite views, including CUFOS and NICAP, but also thought
that some sort of inquiry might discover significant new findings. He also
suggested that NASA had to be assured that there was a justification for
opening such an inquiry because of the time and resources that would be involved.
In a response to this,
Noel Hinners, the Space Science director, was appointed to formulate a
response. There were rumors, or leaks (which I suppose are much the same thing)
that Stephen P. Maran, of the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), would spend
two months examining the UFO world post Condon, meaning he would look at the
developments from 1969 to 1977. Instead of this, and other positive ideas,
Hinners sent a letter to Forsch. In keeping with the skeptical view, Hinners
wrote, “There are two major problems involved in considering any review of the
UFO phenomenon, by NASA: first, an apparent lack of any tangible or physical
evidence for laboratory analysis (emphasis added); second the absence of
any sound scientific protocol for investigating the phenomenon firsthand. There
is a plethora of secondary source material – human observation and reports
thereon – but hearsay is difficult to deal with scientifically…”
Finally, on December 21,
Forsch wrote to Press, telling him that NASA was leaving the door open to
examine any evidence, though he again mentioned the lack of any physical
evidence. He wrote, “I wish in no way to indicate that NASA has come to any
conclusion about the phenomena as such; institutionally we retain an open mind,
a keen sense of scientific curiosity and a willingness to analyze technical
problems within our competence.”
While they continued to
cite the lack of physical evidence, Dr. Peter Sturrock of Stanford University,
wrote Frosch on December 30, saying, “my colleagues and I in the Study Group on
Anomalous Phenomena have obtained access to some physical evidence such as
films, material samples, etc.”
NASA Headquarters was
somewhat surprised and was unprepared to deal with Sturrock’s suggestion about
“obtaining meaningful assessment of these items of evidence.” NASA did,
however, think that Dr. Stephen Maran of Goddard Space Flight Center was the man
to take on the task of assessing the materials because “He is a skeptic on
UFOs; he is extremely sharp and energetic; and he is politically acute.”
Assigning a skeptic to
the investigation is not a bad thing. I would think that someone of a skeptic
nature, who is interested in reviewing the evidence would be the man to do the
job. But, for some reason that never happened. It seemed that NASA decided that
any sort of study would consume time, money and resources and it would distract
the agency from its original and primary mission which dealt with rocketry,
launching satellites and developing a vehicle that could be reused.
I will also note that
this idea that he is “politically acute,” suggests that he might have been
swayed by the political arena surrounding UFOs, believing that any finding
suggesting alien visitation would not be well received. In other words, the
wrong conclusion might jeopardize his career. I have no evidence that such is
the case other than that one minor phrase.
Today NASA is now
saying, according to Daniel Evans, the assistant deputy associate administrator
at the Science Mission Directorate that, “We’re going full force on the UAP
study… This is really important to us and we’re placing a high priority on it.”
But this wasn’t the
only thing said by the NASA representatives at the town hall meeting where this
was discussed. They had to add a disclaimer, saying, “NASA has said there is no
evidence that UAPs are visiting aliens.”
Please note that this is the same thing they said decades ago. They now reduce the observations of witnesses to little more than anecdotal testimony because that diminishes the important of that evidence. And yet, I would have told them about important observations in and around the Levelland UFO sightings from November, 1957. As I researched the book, Levelland, about those sightings, it became clear that it was much more complicated and robust than we thought. Here was a sighting that had many of the elements that science demanded. There were multiple, independent eyewitness to the object, seen at close range for as long as five to fifteen minutes. It interacted with the environment by stalling car engines and filling the radios with static. There are reports of landing traces, again with multiple witnesses. And what was the official investigation about? The number of witnesses. The Air Force said only three had seen an object, but their own investigation produced more than that.
In the past, while it
seemed that NASA was interested in UFOs, there were those who were less than
enthusiastic, especially when scientists outside of NASA and the editors various
magazines with a more skeptical tone mentioned the nightmare of having to deal
with a subject that many considered to be phony and a waste of time. This is,
of course, an outgrowth of the Condon Committee’s negative findings which, as I
mentioned, were bought by the Air Force with half a million bucks (which in
today’s dollars would be something much higher).
Skeptics (or I should
say, “debunkers”) entered the discussion at some point. Philip Klass wrote that
President Carter had barely had time to find his way around the White House his
inauguration before he was inundated with letters and telegrams from people
Klass described as uneducated, inarticulate and confused. There was also the
allegation that 87% of those who wrote NASA about UFOs were eleven or twelve
years old. Or, here was a group of people who didn’t know what they were
talking about trying to force a policy on a government agency. The attitude of
hostility grew out of this.
NASA, though it seemed
would be the perfect agency to investigate claims of alien visitation, rejected
all suggestions they do so. While it would seem that evidence that interstellar
flight was possible would increase their research budgets, they seemed to think
it would bring discredit on the agency.
But now we seem to have
come full circle. We have moved from a time in which many of those at NASA
thought UFO investigation might be worthwhile, to those who worried that it
would damage the agency in some way, back around to it being something NASA
should do. Of course, they mention again, that there is no evidence of alien
visitation and that they believe the answers are all terrestrially based, but
they are now going “full force on the UAP study…”
Please paint me as
skeptical, but hopeful. I fear that this will end up where all other good intentioned
investigations in the topic had ended up… There is no evidence that they find
acceptable no matter what that evidence might be.
Its hard to imagine what evidence is good enough. Isotopic ratios can be faked. Photos misinterpreted. Even Loeb's alien license tag image can be kids playing a prank. They do not have many satellites that gather data every fraction of a second to see incoming or outgoing vehicles or lights. Those likely have too many filters because they were never intended to look for things like that. What do you suggest? NASA setting up a duplicate of Loeb's monitoring station?
ReplyDeleteHow long before the less-than-exciting conclusions and tiredness of having to investigate every light in the sky must folk endure ... before it is fair to assume that every difficult-to-explain case has been fairly explained or is still in the vague, mostly excitement-driven catagory of 'unkown' ?
ReplyDelete