Wednesday, September 03, 2025

Roswell and the Dog that Didn't Bark

Here’s an interesting revelation. I was watching the recent Unsolved Mysteries report on the Roswell case and Colonel Richard Weaver said something that caught my attention. He was talking about having reviewed a million documents and files and miles of microfilm during his review of the Roswell case. The implication is that they, meaning he and his team, had made a Herculean effort to find evidence and failed do it. His conclusion, based on his investigation, was the correct conclusion but it wasn’t accurate.

Don Schmitt, Tom Carey and I had done the same thing, and I could name a couple of dozen others who had followed leads, researched specific aspects of the Roswell case and in the end, there was limited documentation mainly in the form of newspaper stories and the testimony of hundreds of people who had first or second-hand observations. In other words, the documentation was limited, the testimonies were called anecdotal, and we all had searched for documentation and other testimony for nearly forty years for it.

And then I had a thought. I had made a comprehensive search for mention of Roswell and documents relating to it in what could be considered the microcosm of Weaver’s world and search, of Project Blue Book. Although it had officially begun as Project Sign in January 1948, its records begin earlier, even with sightings that pre-dated the Kenneth Arnold sighting of June 24, 1947. In fact, the earliest dated case in the Blue Book files is from June 2. When you look at the record of sightings for July 1947, they cover a single-spaced page. The military was investigating what was happening during the summer that preceded the creation of the official investigation in 1948.

When the Army announced, on July 8, 1947, that they had found a flying saucer, it was international news. I will say that nearly every newspaper in the United States covered the story in some form, beginning with the early announcement on the afternoon of July 8 and ending the next day when Brigadier General Roger Ramey announced it was just a weather balloon. Pictures of Ramey, his chief of staff, Colonel Thomas Dubose, and Major Jesse Marcel, holding pieces of the weather balloon, were printed in the newspapers the next day.

BG Roger Ramey and COL Thomas Dubose with
the balloon wreckage that served as a
cover for the real wreckage.


There are stories of crashed UFOs in the Blue Book files in July 1947. The solutions, all legitimate, ranged from advertising gimmicks to small saucers created to fool friends. A report, from Shreveport, Louisiana, even came to the attention of then FBI director, J. Edgar Hoover. That caused us a great deal of aggravation as we tried to reconcile a note written on an FBI document by Hoover with that report. It had nothing to do with the Roswell case. The file for that case, dated July 7, 1947, is quite thick. And no, I believe the military was correct in labeling it a hoax.

The point here is that by July 8, the military was gathering sighting reports and there are 47 cases for the month in what are now the Blue Book files. There are alleged crashes, files that are labeled as “Folders,” because of the thickness of the file, and many in which there is a notation for a report but labeled as “case missing.”

What I noticed is several crash reports, comprehensive investigations, and an apparent real effort to determine what was going on. All this happening with the “high profile” cases that were extensively investigated and not a single file dedicated to the Roswell case. Here was the story that probably generated some of the highest interest around the world and there is no file on it. The only reference I can find in the Blue Book files is the third paragraph of a four-paragraph story that mentions, in passing, that the officers at Roswell had received a “blistering rebuke” for their claim they had a flying disk.

Colonel Weaver had access to a great deal more official information than any of the civilian researchers and said that he found nothing. I say, I looked through the Blue Book files, which I’m sure were reviewed by Weaver’s team, and they found nothing there either. It made me wonder why a great deal of effort was expended investigating many reports from July 1947, but there is no reference to what could be called the most important story from July 1947. A single mention in a newspaper clipping buried in another Blue Book file but nothing that referenced Roswell specifically.

Doesn’t my search, of the Blue Book files, mirror the research done in the 1990s by the Air Force? There should have been a rather thick file on the Roswell case that included not only newspaper clippings, but the pictures of three of the principals in that case. True, the balloon explanation was floated (pun intended) within about three hours of the initial story, but it was a story of international interest. Walter Haut, the Public Information Officer in Roswell at the time, told me that he received telephone calls from around the world.

Walter Haut being interviewed.
Photo by Kevin Randle.


But there is nothing in the files except that one paragraph in a newspaper clipping. I did ask Haut about that blistering rebuke and he told me that it never happened. His words were something to the effect that if he’d been called by the Pentagon and chewed out, he would remember it.

Again, my point is that a search of the Blue Book files, which were dedicated to gathering UFO information, has nothing about Roswell. It was a case filled with military officers which means it was originally reported officially, but there is no file. Why the emphasis on other reports of crashes and other generic sightings but nothing on what was the biggest UFO story for two days in July? Sure, had it been included in Blue Book, it would have been labeled as a balloon, but that isn’t there. Nothing…

Just as Colonel Weaver found with his inside sources, high-level security clearance and his orders that came, virtually, from the Secretary of the Air Force, no documents relating to Roswell, I found nothing in the declassified Blue Book files. It should have been there, but it was not.

One final comment about all this. For those who would argue that the secrecy was to protect Project Mogul, I point to the newspapers, especially the Alamogordo News, on July 10. There was a long article about the balloon project being carried out at the Alamogordo Army Air Field. Pictures showed a Mogul array (and no, they didn’t call it a Mogul array in the article), explained what they were doing and what it all meant. Charles Moore, one of those working on the project told me that he had bought the ladder that was featured in one of the pictures.

Alamogordo News with pictures of a Constant Level Balloon launch, which
is a Project Mogul balloon launch published on July 10, 1947.


This means, of course, that what was happening in Alamogordo was not highly classified. The balloon launches were conducted by the civilians from the University of New York attempting to create what they called a Constant Level Balloon, meaning it would remain at a certain altitude. Although offered as the solution in 1947, it did not explain what had been found. I have already, many times, explained this about the Mogul solution, the one that the Air Force used to solve the mystery of what fell decades after the fact.

I found Colonel Weaver’s comment on the Unsolved Mysteries show quite telling. There should have been specific documentation that lead to the constant level balloons but not back to Project Mogul. The search would have ended with the balloons from Alamogordo. By the mid-1990s, Mogul was no longer a secret, and several UFO researchers were aware of it. We all had been talking about it for years before the Air Force came up with it as the solution for the Roswell case.

Weaver’s comment, about finding nothing is quite telling. The significant fact, as Sherlock Holmes said in the murder case he was investigating, was that the dog didn’t bark. The significance fact here is as Weaver said he found nothing about the Roswell case in all those files both classified and unclassified. This lack of results screams the problem, because there should have been something given the impact of the original news release and widespread interest in the tale. You might say that this is another example of the dog not barking. *

 

*I thought a note of explanation might be necessary for those who haven’t read the Holmes story. There was a murder committed, and Holmes was investigating. All thought it might be a stranger, but Holmes said that the watch dog didn’t bark. It meant that the murder was someone the dog knew, so it didn’t bark.


11 comments:

Philip Mantle said...

Hi Kevin. Could it be there are no documents because there are none. If Roswell was an ET crash there surely should be a mountain of paper somewhere but none has been located. Perhaps there was no dog after all (smiles). Just a thought.

KRandle said...

But Philip, we know there was a dog because of the reporting in 1947. If this was just a balloon, even one associated with Mogul, there would have been a file with the balloon explanation. It was why I noted that over crashes had files in Blue Book, but this one didn't. There should have been a file that concluded it was a balloon. They didn't do that because they feared that we'd be able to break it open (well, not Don and me or Stan decades later) and in 1947 most of this information was classified (meaning Sign) but the balloon launches in New Mexico were not. So, the dog didn't bark.

David Rudiak said...

(Part 1 of 2)
Yes, this has always bothered me too. Roswell was the BIG story of the day, carried in just about all the U.S. newspapers (maybe not 100% but probably at least 90%) and internationally as well. It disrupted the chain of command clear to the top, and yet not a single peep of follow-up by the Air Force. It was supposedly the GRSU (Great Roswell Screw-Up) by drooling idiot officers at Roswell (DIT: Drooling Idiot Theory), the only atomic bomb base in the world, so not some minor outpost. Yet no investigation by higher command into what happened, no major officers involved getting their career paths disrupted, no official documentation left behind. That's just not the way the military usually works.

I too have used the Sherlock Holmes metaphor of the "dog that didn't bark" to describe this strange set of circumstances--things that should have taken place but seemingly didn't. Instead we see key people like Col. Blanchard eventually become a 4-star General destined to be the AF Chief of Staff (but dying of a heart attack first). Intelligence officer Marcel, who you think might make a good sacrificial lamb, instead drew praise in subsequent efficiency reports by higher officers who were involved like Blanchard, Dubose, Ryan (future AF Chief of Staff) and Ramey. He was also recommissioned, promoted, and transferred to higher intelligence work (with Gen. Ramey protesting his transfer, saying he had nobody to replace him; also commenting he thought Marcel command officer material). If he was a failure, he seemed to fail upward, like all the other officers at Roswell. (See www.roswellproof.com/marcel_evaluations.html)

The only official government document ever found was the FBI telegram out of Dallas that day, where they too were told that the crash object resembled a radar target suspended from a balloon. But even here there are clues that the official story wasn't true, such as the "weather balloon" still being shipped to Wright Field for analysis (why?), Wright Field telling the FBI they disagreed with the weather balloon assessment (why?), and the FBI was to be further informed by Wright of what they found (apparently never happened, according to GAO Roswell investigation in 1994).

Contrast this the following month with an obviously hoax disc made of radio parts the FBI scooped up and also sent to Wright Field for analysis. In this case, the FBI got back a detailed analysis on this very minor case. But not Roswell, with seemingly no follow-up. Why not, considering the enormous publicity Roswell had received? Another dog that didn’t bark. (See www.roswellproof.com/FBI_telegram.html for more details)

Documents that do exist also hint that something was not normal. Gen. Vandenberg, acting AAF Chief of Staff, on July 7 was personally handling public flying disc report, something that would normally be handled by underlings. He daily log shows him talking to a reporter and also goes into great detail about him trying to "kill" a hoax crashed disc story out of Houston. Why? Most mysteriously to me, in the afternoon he canceled a dental appointment and instead went to the airport to personally pick up AAF Secretary Stuart Symington, suggesting urgent business that couldn't wait. Symington could easily have taken a cab, or Vandenberg could have sent an aide. This overlapped with witnesses, like Walter Haut, telling us of Roswell base finding a craft/body site north of town on the afternoon of July 7, discovered by civilians. (More details at www.roswellproof.com/vandenberg.html)

David Rudiak said...

(part 2 of 2)
The following morning, Vandenberg then canceled a previously scheduled meeting and substituted a special meeting of the Joint Research and Development Board (JRDB) headed by Dr. Vannevar Bush. Why? This overlapped exactly with the morning meeting at Roswell where Haut said the crash was being discussed. The RDB meeting becomes especially significant because we learned from genuine 1950 Canadian documents that Bush and the RDB were neck deep in investigating alleged crashed saucers and their "modus operandi", in other words, back-engineering. (See www.roswellproof.com/Smith_papers.html for Canadian documents)

Immediately following the JRDB meeting, the AAF press office put out a press release that they were certain the flying saucers were NOT "space ships". Why the press release? Why bring up “space ships”? (www.roswellproof.com/flying-saucers-not-spaceships.html) This release was issued just before Roswell base put out their own press release that they had just recovered one from a ranch. This created the great Roswell brouhaha, with some newspapers (e.g. Washington Post, NY Times, SF Examiner) reporting Vandenberg then “dropped in” to the AAF Pentagon press office to personally handle the crisis, placing calls to Roswell and Fort Worth. Oddly, not a word of this in Vandenberg’s daily log or anything else Roswell, unlike the previous day when the log detailed Vandenberg’s personal involvement in addressing the flying disc issue. Yet another “dog that didn’t bark”.

There is also the Ramey memo, a real but officially unacknowledged document, which to my reading (and others) is clearly discussing an object called "the "disc"" and "the victims of the wreck".

So official documentation does not exist, but it doesn't take much reading between the lines of documentation that does exist that something highly unusual was going on related to Roswell.

David Rudiak said...

Philip Mantle wrote
"Hi Kevin. Could it be there are no documents because there are none. If Roswell was an ET crash there surely should be a mountain of paper somewhere but none has been located. Perhaps there was no dog after all (smiles). Just a thought.:

KRandle
"But Philip, we know there was a dog because of the reporting in 1947. If this was just a balloon, even one associated with Mogul, there would have been a file with the balloon explanation. It was why I noted that over crashes had files in Blue Book, but this one didn't. There should have been a file that concluded it was a balloon."

As in my other comments, there SHOULD have been a lot of things that happened, that didn't. Command at Roswell base put out a highly inflammatory press release that they had recovered a flying disc, setting off a firestorm of press interest that flooded phone lines into Roswell, Fort Worth, and the Pentagon. The whole chain of command was disrupted.

I don't think the general staff at the Pentagon would just chuckle about the silly screw-up by officers at Roswell. Nor would Gen. Ramey in Fort Worth. Roswell was his subcommand. It would be highly embarrassing at the very least. It would also be an obvious red flag that Roswell might be staffed by incompetents and morons. Do you want such officers in charge of guarding and dropping A-bombs?

This should definitely have prompted an internal investigation into what happened if it was all just a giant mistake. Some officers' careers should have ended. Didn't happen. A dog that didn't bark.

Scotland said...

A couple things here Kevin!

If it was truly a Mogul balloon, and there was documentation, that documentation is probably been destroyed because of its strategic insignificance.

As for why project blue book and Project sign, and the other documented projects may not have included the Roswell case in their report, might have to do with several reasons. The first being the fact that the Roswell case was just not in the spotlight, versus let’s say, Aztec New Mexico. There was less of a public interest with Roswell at the time so the people that were working in these projects might not have seen any reason to bring up the case of Roswell. Who’s to say that the case of Roswell even came across their minds, let alone putting Roswell into their report. Secondly let’s say that they knew about the Roswell case, they might have considered it already to be a close case so why put it into the report. It could also be possible that they didn’t put that into the report because they saw no connection with Roswell being connected to the flying source phenomenon.

Last but not least, the absence of a Roswell case (so to speak) doesn’t necessarily prove a conspiracy that connects it to a coverup of some type.

KRandle said...

Scotland -

Oh, please. Roswell was front page news literally all over the world for those two days in July 1947. It was much more important that the cases mentioned in the Blue Book files. The files were created at the time of the incidents, so Roswell would certainly have figured in this because it was world wide news. There should have been a file on it with the conclusion of balloon. That there is not, is surprising.

The launch of a New York University constant level balloons are very well documented... and the culprit claimed, Flight No. 4 was cancelled.

And, of course there was a cover up. The Air Force admitted that. They claimed they were hiding Project Mogul, but that was exposed on July 10, 1947 in articles about the balloon launches in NM.

David Rudiak said...

Kevin wrote:
And, of course there was a cover up. The Air Force admitted that. They claimed they were hiding Project Mogul, but that was exposed on July 10, 1947 in articles about the balloon launches in NM.

Yes, after Gen. Ramey displayed his used weather balloon and a radar target, there was a publicly acknowledged follow-up debunking campaign by the Army and Navy utilizing balloon/targets to try to kill interest in the flying saucers and Roswell by ridiculing sightings as weather balloons. This occurred at various locations throughout the country. Alamogordo was just one of them, where they acknowledged that they were sending up balloon/targets and had been since 1946 to chart upper winds before V-2 rocket tests. And, oh yes, this probably explained what the rancher found and most of the recent flying saucer reports. The first sentence of the United Press Roswell story on July 9, 1947, spelled it out:

"Reports of flying saucers whizzing through the sky fell off sharply today as the Army and Navy began a concentrated campaign to stop the rumors."

I've documented this debunkery campaign on my website:

www.roswellproof.com/militarydebunk.html
www.roswellproof.com/balloondemos.html

Fort Worth AAFB was the site of another of these debunkery demos. The fact that they would engage in such an extensive campaign is yet another instance of odd things happening around Roswell that CAN be documented.

It certainly wasn't to protect the secrecy of Project Mogul. The project name wasn't public, nor the ultimate purpose (spy on future Soviet A-bomb tests), but the balloon launches were public knowledge and impossible to conceal, as Mogul people themselves acknowledged when interviewed 40+ years later.

The secondary purpose of developing constant altitude balloons wasn't secret either. In fact, in Dec. 1947, Mogul people (including engineer Charles Moore) wrote up the results of the early balloon launches at Alamogordo and this paper was published in the Journal of Meteorology, Aug. 1948. It included pictures of the constant-altitude balloon equipment and some of the Mogul balloon trajectories and fight profiles, so hardly secret, not remotely--the exact same stuff Mogul included in their progress reports. Just nothing about "Mogul" or spying on the Russians.

Moore gave the Air Force a copy from his files and it was published in the 1995 Air Force Roswell debunkery report. So this claim by debunkers now that they were trying to protect the secrecy of Mogul is utter nonsense. Rather it was the balloon launches were publicly used to try to debunk the saucers and Roswell.

car099 said...

Hi Kevin, 2 things, opinion on the roswell video/picture circulating around from the national archives, vague but it seems like a crash site and it can align to the narraitve some witnesses shared, finally I was reading your article on Frank Kaufmann "Frank Kaufmann reconsidered" it seems to me like while you exposed but appeared to be adultered documents/testimony you never fully ruled him out right? can you share your thoughts on that? thanks and hope things are well with you!

car099 said...

Hi Kevin, great to see you in the Roswell episode! I pasted a comment before but it was not posted, trying again, did you see the crash image from the national Archives?.I know it's a long stretch but want to hear your thoughts on it, finally read your article about Frank Kaufmann, did you ever had second thoughts on him? Like maybe he was framed? I don't know, some of his testimony, documents were good...

KRandle said...

car99 -

Frank Kaufmann had no role in the Roswell recovery. The forged documents should be one big clue. More importantly, a review of his military training provides no evidence of any special training that would be required for the recovery. Although he claimed to have been a master sergeant trained in intelligence, he was, in reality, a staff sergeant trained as a clerk. There is nothing in the Kaufmann testimony that is of importance, other than the fact we need to been careful in accepting records from the witness. We need the documentation for independent sources.