Yes,
I know we’ve talked about this before but I’m still surprised when there are
uncritical statements published about the nonsensical Mogul balloon explanation
for the debris found by Mack Brazel. And, while I know it is beating the dead
horse because we’ve gone over this multiple times, I just wish to respond to
some of those who, without knowing all the details, spout the Mogul line.
The
documentation is quite clear. Mogul Flight No. 4, the culprit in all this, was
scheduled to be launched about dawn on June 4, 1947. According to the records
it was cancelled. It was never launched.
That
same record, created by the project leader, Dr. Albert Crary, said that they
did fly a cluster of balloons with a sonobuoy attached. A sonobuoy is basically
a radio transmitter and microphone. Its job, in this context, was to pick up
the sound of high explosives detonated to test that capability. That was all it
was. It had nothing to do with radar which some seem to believe it did.
We
know, based on the documentation published by the New York University balloon
project (which launched these balloons) that in June 1947, they were not
allowed to fly them at night or into clouds. The huge arrays, six hundred feet
long, could pose a threat to aerial navigation if hidden by the darkness or in clouds.
The June launches were made at dawn or shortly thereafter.
There
is no record of any data recovered from a Flight No. 4 and it is missing from
the records. The next day, June 5, Flight No. 5 was launched and it is recorded
as the first successful flight in New Mexico.
Charles
Moore, who claimed the title of the man who launched the “Roswell” balloon,
using winds aloft data, calculated the flight path of the mythical Flight No.
4, if it had been launched at about dawn. His calculations, based on that
incomplete data, showed the balloon would have moved, more or less, toward the
site of the Brazel debris field.
Here
are the problems. First, a weather front moved through Alamogordo about dawn,
changing the winds aloft data and suggesting a different direction for the
mythical flight. To fix that problem, and using data obtained from a weather
station near Orogrande, New Mexico that had better winds aloft data because of
the proximity of the White Sands Missile Range (or Proving Ground in 1947,
which I mention so that the nitpickers won’t harp on this), Moore changed the
launch time to three in the morning… even though full arrays were forbidden to
be flown in the dark by the rules under which they operated. It was the only
way he could force the flight path into something that would move in the proper
direction.
What
this means is that Flight No. 4 was launched before it was cancelled… and if
that was the case, then Crary’s diary and field notes would have mentioned it.
Instead the sequence was the flight was cancelled and later in the day a
cluster of balloons was flown.
Second,
we know what the cluster of balloons was. It was not a full array, but three or
four balloons carrying a sonobouy which means that this balloon cluster was relatively
short and did not pose a hazard to aerial navigation. It fact, according to a
letter written by Moore, they didn’t expect it to get out of the restricted
area around Alamogordo. There would be no aircraft flying into it.
Third,
we know, based on Flight No. 5, that there had been no rawin radar targets on
Flight No. 4 because there were no radar facilities to track it, and a diagram
of that array was published in the New York University reports. There was no
diagram for Flight No. 4 because there was no Flight No. 4.
Finally,
we know that the nonsense about these flights being highly classified is wrong.
The name, Mogul, was used by Crary in a number of entries in his diaries and
field notes. The ultimate purpose was classified, but the experiments conducted
in New Mexico were not. In fact, there were newspaper articles showing the
balloons and reporting on the location of the launches published in early July.
It
really is time to retire this explanation. It doesn’t fit the facts, it doesn’t
explain anything, and it is just a red herring, thrown out to convince people
that something mundane fell on the ranch. Say what you will, this is not a
viable explanation.