Well,
it’s happened again. Just when I thought I could ignore the Project Mogul
nonsense, I get sucked right back in. I was attempting to learn something else,
when I came upon the Roswell entry in Wikipedia. It showed bias by
accepting theory and speculation as if they are established facts. Those alleged
facts are simply wrong.
I
wouldn’t even bother with this, but the new first sentence in the discussion of
Mogul is now filled with errors. It said, “By 1947, the United States had
launched thousands of top-secret Project
Mogul balloons
carrying devices to listen for Soviet atomic tests.”
I
suppose I need to point out here that in the past, that first sentence actually
claimed, “In 1947, a Project Mogul balloon NYU Flight 4, launched
June 4, crashed in the
desert near Roswell, New Mexico.”
Why the change? Because someone noticed that
NYU Flight 4 had been cancelled at dawn. It did not fly and if it didn’t fly,
well, it couldn’t drop anything on the Brazel (Foster) ranch, which is not all
that close to Roswell.
The second problem is that the statement was
too specific. It gives us information that can be checked through documentation
on the Internet, the Air Force report The Roswell Report: Fact vs Fiction in
the New Mexican Desert, in Karl Pflock’s book, Roswell: Inconvenient
Facts and the Will to Believe and in my book, Roswell in the 21st
Century. In other words, a little research calls the Flight No. 4
explanation into serious question and I have cited both skeptical and positive
sources.
So, now we have a more generic opening
sentence filled with those fictions I mentioned earlier. In June 1947, the first of the New
Mexico balloon arrays were launched from the Alamogordo Army Air Field. Not
thousands by 1947, and by September, 1947, there had been only seventeen
launches, three of those on the east coast and two that were cancelled.
There
were no top-secret Project Mogul balloons in New Mexico in 1947 because there
was no such thing and never was a top-secret Mogul balloon. Charles Moore, who
was an engineer on the balloon project in New Mexico, made it clear to me that
their equipment was off-the-shelf weather balloons, just like those launched
several times a day from weather observations stations all over the United
States. There was nothing classified about their research. Although he claimed
that he didn’t know the name of the project in 1947, the Mogul name appears in
Dr. Albert Crary’s field notes and diary showing that the name was known to
members of the research team.
![]() |
| The official record of balloon flights in New Mexico in June 1947. |
There
is another point that is rather subtle but one that is important. What was
happening in New Mexico with the NYU balloon flights was not classified. The
ultimate purpose, to spy on the Soviets, was classified. We know this because
on July 10, the Alamogordo News carried a story about the research going
on at Alamogordo Army Air Field complete with pictures of one of the long
arrays displayed. Moore told me that the ladder in one of the pictures was a
ladder he had bought with petty cash which ties all this together.
![]() |
| Newspaper story about NYU balloon launches in July 1947. A very fully way to deal with "top-secret" material. |
The
True Story of Flight #4
The
Wikipedia entry told us, “On June 4, researchers at Alamogordo
Army Air Field in
New Mexico launched a long train of these balloons; they lost contact with the
balloons and balloon-borne equipment within 17 miles (27 km) of
the ranch managed by W. W. "Mac" [sic] Brazel near Corona,
New Mexico,
where a balloon array subsequently crashed.”
According
to Crary’s notes, the June 4 launch, which is listed as the culprit here, was
cancelled at dawn that morning because of cloudy weather. Those in Alamogordo
operated under strict government rules because the array trains could be a
hazard to aerial navigation. They were required to post a NOTAM warning pilots
about that hazard, which underscores the danger of these long arrays.
Crary wrote in his field notes, later
transcribed to his diary, “June 4 Wed. Out to Tularosa Range and fired charges
between 00 [midnight] and 06 this am. No balloon flight again on account of
clouds [emphasis added].” For some reason, those of the skeptical
bias seem to ignore that statement, inventing alternative meanings behind it. I
believe it is destructive to the Mogul explanation because, there was no launch
of a full array on June 4.
To be fair, because I think of this as an
investigation and not a debate, I note that, according to Crary’s notes, “Flew
a regular sono buoy up in a cluster of balloons and had good luck with receiver
on the ground but poor on the plane.”
This is the “real” Flight #4 according to
those skeptics including Karl Pflock. Charles Moore claimed that this cluster
of balloons was a full array which he claimed was the first successful flight
in New Mexico. He said that it had been configured the same as Flight #5 but
there was no data recorded from it. You have to wonder how it was launched
before it was cancelled and why the documentation tells us the balloon cluster
was launched later in the day. But mostly you must wonder if Flight #4 was so
successful, why no data was recorded from it.
![]() |
| Charles Moore reviewing the winds aloft data that I had supplied. Photo by Kevin Randle |
Moore told me that Flight #4 was as
successful as Flight #5. He told others the same lie. This claim is an obvious
contradiction to the documentation that is available because, if it had
collected data, it would be listed.
Added to that question is why Flight #5,
which did fly the next day, has the notation “First successful flight carrying
a heavy load.”?
The next entry, for June 5, clarifies the
situation. Crary wrote, “Up at 4 to shoot two charges for balloon flight. Whole
assembly of constant altitude balloons set up at 0500.” This underscores that
Flight #5 was the first full array launched in New Mexico.
The New York Times
endorsed the idea that there was something extremely unusual about the Mogul
arrays. According to that story, “"...squadrons
of big balloons ... It was like having an elephant in your backyard and hoping
that no one would notice it. ... To the untrained eye, the reflectors looked
extremely odd, a geometrical hash of lightweight sticks and sharp angles made of
metal foil. ... photographs of it, taken in 1947 and published in newspapers,
show bits and pieces of what are obviously collapsed balloons and radar
reflectors.”
This
is a reference to the photographs taken in Brigadier General Roger Ramey’s
office on July 8. Ramey was the commanding officer of the 8th Air
Force in 1947 and had ordered, according to various sources, samples of the
debris brought to his office. Major Jesse Marcel, who had collected some of the
debris on July 7, was the man who brought it forward. Those photographs do show
the remains of a neoprene weather balloon and the remnants of a rawin radar
target. However, both Marcel and Colonel Thomas Dubose, who are in those
pictures, have testified that the material in the pictures was not the
material recovered on the debris field. Both said that the real material was
switched with that of the weather balloon and radar reflector before being
shown to J. Bond Johnson from the Fort Worth Star Telegram who took the
pictures.
![]() |
| Jesse Marcel with the wreckage of a rawin radar reflector. The balloon envelope is the black mass behind him. July 8, 1947 |
What
we now know is there weren’t squadrons of big balloons as reported in The
New York Times, but an array of standard weather balloons, recognizable,
even when arranged in a long array. There was nothing about the balloons that
would render them unrecognizable. The daughter of Sherman Campbell was pictured
in newspapers around the country displaying the remains of a rawin target her
father had found on his farm near Circleville, Ohio around the same time. It
seems that farmers who had no experience with weather balloons or radar targets
was able to identify the remains as such when a trained intelligence officer
and the chief of staff of the Eighth Air Force was not.
![]() |
| Newspaper photo of Sherman Campbell's daughter with a rawin target her father had found in 1947. |
Here's
another problem for the Mogul explanation. According to what Moore told me when
I visited with him in Socorro, New Mexico, the mythical Flight #4 was
configured exactly like Flight #5. The problem then is that the schematic for
Flight #5 contains no rawin targets, which The New York Times described
as “the reflectors looked extremely odd, a geometrical hash of lightweight
sticks and sharp angles made of metal foil.”
All
of this should render the Mogul balloons as a non-answer. It is, however, the
only terrestrial explanation left to explain the debris. The Air Force proved
that in their report when they wrote the other alternative explanations had
been eliminated. Take it off the table and there is no other culprit.
Mack
Brazel, the Rancher Who Found the Debris
One
of the facts that is rarely mentioned by the skeptical side of the argument is
that Mack Brazel, who took the samples to the Chaves County Sheriff, George
Wilcox, knew what weather balloons looked like. In the Roswell Daily Record
article published on July 9, Brazel said that he had found weather balloons on
other occasions, but this was not like those.
The
second problem here is that Flight #4 was allegedly launched on June 4, but
Brazel didn’t take samples of the debris to the sheriff until more than a month
later. Descriptions of the debris scattered in the pasture suggest that it was
so some much debris that the sheep refused to cross the field for water.
According to Bill Brazel, son of Mack, and Tommy Tyree, a sometimes ranch hand,
Mack was in the field at least every other day, meaning that he would have
found the debris on June 5 or 6, if we believe the newspaper story. Given the
location of the debris and the water source, Brazel would have reported it with
in a day or two. He wanted those responsible for scattering the debris to clean
it up because, according to Tommy Tyree, the Proctors, Bill Brazel and Bessie
Brazel Schreiber, the debris so densely packed or blowing around that the sheep
refused to cross it. Brazel wanted to know who was going to clean up the mess.
The neighbors suggested the Army. This tidbit of information is just another
reason to reject the Mogul explanation.
![]() |
| Bill Brazel in 1989. Photo by Kevin Randle |
Bessie
Brazel Schreiber was fourteen years old in 1947 and in an affidavit signed on
September 9, 1993, provided her perspective about the events. She said that she
and her younger brother, along with her father were on the ranch in July 1947.
She said that right around the fourth, her dad had “found a lot of debris
scattered over a pasture some distance from the house… None of us was riding
with him when he found the material…”
Please
note the date. The Roswell Daily Record reported that Brazel had found
the debris in the middle of June. Here, Schreiber said that her father found
the debris much later than claimed in the newspaper which would eliminate the
Mogul explanation.
She
said, “there was a lot of debris scattered sparsely over an area that seem to
me now to have been about the size of a football field. There may been
additional material spread out more widely by the wind, which was blowing quite
strongly.”
For
those interested, a football field is about the size of an acre. That’s much
larger than Cavitt’s claim of about 200 feet and smaller than Marcel’s three
quarters of a mile given for the size of the debris field.
I
would be remiss if I didn’t point out the weasel words used by her. She said
that the area seemed to have been and there may have been… both statements
don’t suggest a strong memory of the event but are probably based on
information she heard later, picked up from family and various articles,
documentaries and books.
The
important point is that she said her father located the debris during the July
4 weekend, which refutes the Daily Record article claiming a mid-June
date. The truth here is that I’m reluctant to quote from her affidavit because
later, in conversations with her brother, Bill, she reputed it all, suggesting
that she might be remembering some other event. I feel obligated to mention her
affidavit because it is part of the research and provides information that
supports both sides of the argument. To ignore it is to reject part of the
story with which I disagree.
Debris
Arrives in Roswell
When
Brazel went to Roswell to find that assistance for cleaning up the mess, he
stopped first at the sheriff’s office. According to Phyllis McGuire, daughter
of the sheriff and who was there when Brazel came in, he carried samples of the
debris. While McGuire being in the office might seem strange, the sheriff’s
family lived in an apartment above the jail. It was early Sunday afternoon when
Brazel arrived. She saw the bundle of material.
After
Marcel arrived, that debris was taken to the base and then flown to Fort Worth.
Colonel Dubose said that, on orders by General Clements McMullen, that debris
was flown to SAC Headquarters. Colonel Al Clark, who was the Assistant Chief of
Staff for Supply (G4) in Fort Worth, flew the material on to SAC HQ. It is
impossible to believe that this debris would pass through so many hands and not
be recognized as balloon and rawin debris, if it was that. Remember, Sheridan
Cavitt told Colonel Richard Weaver in the mid-1990s, that he recognized it as
balloon debris when he first saw it out in the field.
![]() |
| Sheridan Cavitt in 1990. Photo by Kevin Randle |
Of
course, Cavitt told Don and me that in July 1947, he was too busy to be
involved in any balloon retrieval. He denied he had gone out to the impact
site, despite Bill Rickett telling us otherwise. Rickett said that the site was
less than an hour from Roswell and that several of the senior officers were
there.
But
Cavitt changed the story and told Weaver he had been on the debris field. He
didn’t remember if Marcel was there or not, but that he, Cavitt, knew it was a
balloon. He didn’t explain why he didn’t mention that to Marcel nor did he
explain why he had withheld this important intelligence from Blanchard or the
other staff officers in Roswell.
All
this is to provide some perspective for my suggestion that Wikipedia’s
bias is showing. Nearly every source cited in the footnotes is from a skeptical
publication or a writer with a skeptical point of view. Looking at some of the
source material used, I can point to repeated errors. Donovan Webster provides
us with many examples of this from suggesting the Mac [sic] Brazel was 80 miles
from Roswell to reporting, “Seeking answers, he contacted Colonel “Butch”
Blanchard, commander of the Roswell Army Airfield’s 509th Composite
Group,
located just outside of town. Blanchard was stymied. Working his way up the
chain of command, he decided to contact his superior, General Roger W. Ramey,
commander of the 8th Air Force in Fort Worth, Texas.”
![]() |
| Colonel William Butch Blanchard. |
Although
it is unclear who the “he” is, but the information was relayed to Marcel and
not Blanchard. It was Marcel who was stymied and accompanied Brazel back to the
ranch with Cavitt of the Counterintelligence Corps. Marcel was not accompanied
by Sheriff Wilcox.
It’s
here where we run into another aspect of this and that’s the size of the debris
field. Marcel told researchers that it was about three quarters of a mile long
and two hundred feet wide. Marcel said that it looked as if something had
exploded in the air and didn’t mention a gouge. He said that he saw no evidence
that anything hit the ground.
Cavitt,
however, said the debris field was only about two hundred feet square, which
suggests the remains of a Mogul flight. To him there was nothing unusual about
the debris field, yet he spent a couple of hours out there. Marcel suggested
that Cavitt head on back to the base, while he, Marcel, gathered some of that
debris to take back to Roswell.
![]() |
| Bill Brazel and Don Schmitt on the debris field in 1989. Photo by Kevin Randle |
Although
Marcel didn’t mention a gouge, Bill Brazel did. He said that it ran down what
would have been the center of the debris field. According to what he told Don
and me, it was narrow at the beginning, widened out to about ten feet and then
narrowed at the far end. It suggested that something had bounced and then
gaining flight for another fifteen or twenty miles. I’ll speculate here that
Marcel was looking for an impact crater where the object had hit. Seeing the
debris field, it was his memory that the object had exploded in the air.
Brigadier
General Arthur Exon and the Roswell Case
In
one of the more outrageous examples of misinformation, Wikipedia claimed
“The book [UFO Crash at Roswell] claimed that General Arthur Exon had been aware of debris
and bodies, but Exon disputed his depiction.”
![]() |
| Brigadier General Arthur Exon. |
Karl
Pflock is probably the source of this information, but Pflock doesn’t actually
write that. He wrote, “As we will see, General Exon has quite a different take
on what he actually said and intended to convey.”
But
what actually happened was the Stanton Friedman made the original allegation
against Don and me because Exon talked about an oversight group he identified
as “The Unholy Thirteen.” That information, from an actual living source who
was there, was in conflict with Friedman’s defense of MJ-12 documents. If the
group, as described by Exon existed, that undercut the validity of MJ-12. Friedman
said that Exon had told him that we, or more accurately in this case I, had
misquoted him.
But
that’s not what Exon said originally. In a handwritten letter dated November
24, 1991, Exon set the record on this straight. He wrote:
I’m
sorry that a portion of my interview has given you trouble. I will acknowledge
that the “quick” quotes does have me saying that my flights later much later
[emphasis in the original], varified [sic] the direction of
possible flight of the object…
Further,
you both likely recall on many occasions during my visits with you in person
and on the phone when you wanted me to meet others – that I did not know anything
first Hand. Although I believe you did quote me accurately,
[emphasis added], I do believe that your writings gave me more credence and
impression of personal & direct knowledge that my recordings would
indication [sic] on their own! [Emphasis in original]. I felt that
throughout the portions where my name was used, the quotes were O,K. but the
authoritative emphasis was yours. I want to say that so far your use of my name
and discussions have not given me any problem. So let’s leave it at that. I did
enjoy your and Donald’s efforts in digging into who knows what!
I’m
returning the copy of your books. I’ll be glad to pay for it but would
appreciate it being autographed.
For
those interested in a more comprehensive analysis of this whole situation, you
can find it here:
https://kevinrandle.blogspot.com/2020/07/the-general-exon-quotes-again.html
And
here:
https://kevinrandle.blogspot.com/2007/04/i-havent-wanted-to-turn-this-blog-into.html
And
here, you can see a copy of Exon’s letter to me and Greg Sandow’s analysis of
the importance of the Exon testimony here:
https://kevinrandle.blogspot.com/2022/03/the-general-exon-quotes-are-accurate.html
Karl
Pflock, in his book, later followed up with that weak sentence in an earlier
chapter, with a paragraph. He wrote:
…However,
what of the recollections attributed by Kevin Randle and Don Schmitt to retired
Air Force Brig. Gen. Arthur E. Exon?
When
first made public in 1991, it seemed Exon’s memories of the possibility that
bodies had been flown from Roswell to Wright Field in 1947 might be based upon
firsthand information. If so, this would be highly significant, especially
since Exon also seemed to have firsthand knowledge of the debris field and
crash site, as well as a shadowy high-level group established to keep the truth
about Roswell under wraps. However, in a lengthy September 1992 telephone
conversation, Exon told me [Pflock] his comments about bodies and debris at
Wright Field were based solely upon rumors he heard from colleagues at Wright
Field and nothing more. As for the “control group,” he said he merely was
making educated guesses as to who likely would have been selected for such a
group. Finally, with respect to his alleged knowledge of the debris field and
crash sites, he told me he remembered flying over several sites in New Mexico
quite some time after July 1947, on missions that had nothing to do with the
Roswell incident. One such location might have fit what he had been told about
the crash site by ufologists because it had vehicle tracks running to it.
I
find the use of the term “rumor,” to be somewhat reductive. One definition of
rumor is, “information or a story that is passed from person to person but has
not been proven to be true.”
I
can argue that there are elements of what Exon said that are true based on
other testimony and documentation. Exon was the source for us, but he was not
the only source talking about what he had learned from those who had seen the
bodies and who had studied the strange metal that had been delivered to Wright
Field.
It
is true, that the information was second hand from Exon but it strains the term
rumor as it was applied here. Exon made it clear that he knew those who told
him about the bodies and about the metal. It wasn’t gossip he’d overheard in
the Officers Club or tales told out of school. These were men he trusted
telling him, specifically about the strange metal recovered on the debris field
and later from a photographer who told him about the bodies.
The
real problem here is that I have published, in several places, the transcripts
of what Exon told me and later told Don. I shared those transcripts with both
Pflock and Philip Klass. Pflock knew about the letter that Exon had sent to me,
but that didn’t stop him from suggesting that we misrepresented Exon. Both the
letter and the tone of our book, suggested that Exon was telling us what he had
learned from his colleagues and that his first-hand observations were from a
flight over the debris field and the impact site. Both Friedman and Pflock knew
the truth about the source of the information and both distorted that
information for their own purposes.
I
will note that Pflock did not supply transcripts of his interview with Exon. He
put his spin on it but Exon told me, in his letter what he meant. As I say,
this takes it from rumor to a higher
level of information.
I
made it clear, in UFO Crash at Roswell, the information was not from
direct observation by Exon, but came from discussions with those directly
involved. The information rises above the definition of rumor but it is still
second hand.
But
Exon also talked about two distinct sites, which we have thought of as the
debris field near Corona, New Mexico and the impact site much closer to
Roswell. As mentioned earlier, Rickett described in detail his trip to the
impact site with Cavitt. Contrary to Pflock’s reporting, Exon flew over those
sites which makes that first hand testimony with corroborating statements by
others. And, importantly, he mentioned two sites and not several different
sites. Exon was telling Don and me about two distinct sites.
There
is one other interesting fact that has not been mentioned. While we were
attacked about what Exon had said and done, the final statement in that segment
of the book, Exon said, “Roswell was the recovery of a craft from space.” There
is nothing in the notes or interviews by others that this statement is in
dispute.
An
interesting side note that has some relevance to the discussion is that Exon
had a copy of the book. He had read the segments about him and he didn’t
challenge any of the statements as inaccurate. He challenged the importance of
the quotes he had made, but he wrote that the quotes were accurate and that
includes the last one attributed to him. “Roswell was the recovery of a craft
from space.”
A
Final Word
This
has grown much longer than I intended. The original point was to show the bias
in Wikipedia about the Roswell crash/retrieval. Nearly every
source they quoted was from the skeptical side of the argument. I believe that
by correcting some of the mistakes made, I have shown the bias. Even a quarter
of a century after we updated the spelling of Mack Brazel’s name, they can’t
get it right. Even after thirty years of explaining that the operation in
Alamogordo was not highly classified and showing pictures that appeared in the
newspapers of the time, we are still told it was highly classified. And in this
latest version of the article in Wikipedia, they have printed “facts”
that are easily checked but no one bothered with that.
I
could even point out that the three thousand dollars offered for proof of a
flying disk, some of that information was not widely available until after
Brazel had gone into Roswell. A thousand dollars was only available during the July
4th weekend and the announcement of a thousand from another source
wasn’t reported until Monday after Brazel had returned from Roswell.
I
don’t suppose that Wikipedia will correct the errors and provide
information from the other side of the argument. But I will note one other
fact. Much of the information reported in Wikipedia is from published
sources that have quoted other sources. The information that Don, Tom Carey and
I reported on was gathered in interviews with the participants. We didn’t read
a bunch of books and articles; we talked to the people who were there and
involved. That should count for something.











1 comment:
Kevin wrote: "For those interested, a football field is about the size of an acre. That’s much larger than Cavitt’s claim of about 200 feet and smaller than Marcel’s three quarters of a mile given for the size of the debris field."
It's much worse than that. What Cavitt's affidavit in the 1995 USAF Roswell report reads is:
"The area of this debris was very small, about 20 feet square." [perhaps meaning 20 ft x 20 ft.--see below]
In the interview with Col. Richard Weaver, it goes:
RW: When you said the wreckage wasn't very much, could you, was it as long as your house here, or just a small little clump?
SC: Maybe as low as this mom is wide.
RW: So, twenty feet maybe?
SC: Some here, some here, some here. No concentration of it.
And in the interview of Cpt. James McAndrew with Mogul engineer Charles Moore, McAndrew it went:
JM: Of course the issue of the large area has been different in different reports. Different people have stated the 200 yards. [Brazel--see below] Cavitt in his description, described it in terms of his living room which was not that large.
CM: Even a single target, if it came down, wouldn't have filled a single living room, but a multiple target, being dragged sideways and then blown transversally by any later winds, could have filled a reasonable area.
JM: And left pieces of debris everywhere. Depending on what the wind did.
Cavitt also said he thought it was just from some weather balloon, even after later being prompted by Weaver that they now thought it was a Project Mogul balloon that was a 600 foot long string of weather balloons. Cavitt didn't get the memo and was obviously just repeating the 1947 singular weather balloon story of Gen. Ramey.
Let's now compare descriptions of the debris field size by various witnesses:
Jesse Marcel: AP stories, 1947 and researcher Leonard Stringfield 1978--Debris was scattered over a "SQUARE MILE" (up to ~640 acres or football fields). Other interviews: Debris was concentrated along a linear strip 200-300 feet wide by 3/4 mile long. (~18-27 acres).
Brazel interview story 1947: 200 yards across (roughly 7-9 acres)
Cavitt interview: Living room size, maybe 20'x20' = ~400 ft square, or ~.01 acre.
Even ignoring Marcel's much larger description (the "square mile" one dates back to 1947), the difference between Cavitt's and Brazel's debris field descriptions is still 3 orders of magnitude.
Apparently those winds out at the Foster ranch were enormous, to scatter the single weather balloon in Ramey's office over a multi-acre region that Brazel described, but also capable of reconcentrating Brazel's debris field back into an area the size of Cavitt's living room by the time Cavitt got there to examine it. No wonder New Mexico is called the Land of Enchantment.
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